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A lesson in capitalist economics


Clarkkent
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I once heard a statement that the nature of capitalist economics is that in any market with room for x companies, there will always be x + 1 and the companies will fight among themselves (usually with price) to remain in the market. Occasionally, one of the companies will call it a day and pull out.

It seems that P&O ferries are about to make a statement about their continued presence on the Dover - Calais route. If they pull out, this will reduce competition and hence the need for other operators to charge low fares.

Warning.

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I take a more optimistic view. When Speedferries arrived, there was x+2 companies in that market - normally the established players would try to ensure that the new boy like Speedferries should not last, but it looks as if P&O rather than SF may be the one to pull out.

P&O's Portsmouth services are also included in the review; losing an operator there would be a bit more worrying under that principle, but I'd be very surprsied if the company pulled out there - most likely seems to be that they will change from Le Havre to Ouistreham and maybe drop one of both of the fast craft. We shall see.

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Surely the prob is over supply. Even if P&O only cut back on number of sailings rather than pull out totally this action would go a bit towards balancing things. At that point SF will face the issue of how much to put up fares as, having established a position during 2004, they will be on hand for people booking trips from Easter 2005. 

If P&O withdraw fully from the game perhaps they will sell their place in the cartel to SF ?

John

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They  could even  pull out of Cherbourg and Le Havre then  centre everything on Caen, two ferries supported by the fast-craft, perhaps just the two ferries. The presence at Cherbourg must be quite costly in terms of fixed costs for a pretty patchy service since it dropped to one ferry operation. 

The leaked stories in the press talk of 1000 job losses, how many ferries would that represent?

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