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Is this what you were trying to tell me?


Frecossais
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In case of interest.... 

A Dummies guide to what went wrong in

Europe (and the USA).

 Helga is the proprietor of a

bar.

 She realizes that virtually all of her customers are

unemployed 

 alcoholics

 and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her

bar.

 To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing

plan that 

 allows her customers to drink now, but pay

later.

 Helga keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger

(thereby granting 

 the customers' loans).

Word gets around

about Helga's "drink now, pay later" marketing 

 strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood

into Helga's bar.

 Soon she has the largest sales volume for any

bar in town.

By providing her customers freedom from

immediate payment demands,

 Helga gets no resistance when, at

regular intervals, she substantially

 increases her prices for

wine and beer, the most consumed beverages.

 Consequently, Helga's gross sales volume increases massively.

 A

young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes

that

 these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and

increases

 Helga's borrowing limit.

 He sees no

reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the

 unemployed alcoholics as collateral!!!

 At the bank's corporate

headquarters, expert traders figure a way to 

 make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into

DRINKBONDS.

 These "securities" then are bundled and

traded on international

securities

markets.

 Naive investors don't really understand that

the securities being sold  to

them as "AA" "Secured Bonds" really are debts of unemployed

alcoholics.

 Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb!!!,

and the 

 securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the

nation's leading

brokerage houses.

 One

day, even though the bond prices still are climbing, a risk 

 manager

at the original local bank decides that the time has come to

demand 

 paymenton the debts incurred by the drinkers at Helga's bar. He

so informs Helga.

 Helga then demands payment from her alcoholic

patrons, but being

unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back

their drinking debts.

 Since Helga cannot fulfil her loan

obligations she is forced into

 bankruptcy. The bar closes and

Helga's 11 employees lose their jobs.

 Overnight,

DRINKBOND prices drop by 90%. The collapsed bond asset 

 value destroys the bank's liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, 

 thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

 The

suppliers of Helga's bar had granted her generous payment 

 extensions and had invested their firms' pension funds in the

BOND securities.

 They find they are now faced with having to

write off her bad debt and

with losing over 90% of the presumed

value of the bonds.

 Her wine supplier also claims

bankruptcy, closing the doors on a 

 family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier

is

taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local

plant and

 lays off 150 workers.

 Fortunately though, the bank,

the brokerage 

 houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out

by a 

 multibillion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from the

government.

The funds required for this bailout are

obtained by new taxes levied 

 on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who've never been in Helga's

bar.

 Now do you

understand?

 

 
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